Saturday 30 November 2013

DocsLaymanChatter XVI





Hey folks after a busy Friday evening summing up the reverberation on the wacky Ecr bulletin board I finally managed to translate my feelings through art to the twits who poorly attempted to defame or discredit me. from left to right - Meldrew (Who) Bm3 (Sour puss) Porno (Weirdo) and Valancia (Elton) these four stooges instead of swallowing the bitter pill of near total loss on their investments in resource companies without oil or dodgy boards decide to channel their anger at the only lone ranger actually giving them a heads up on the crappy stocks. Ldp was another one to join the P.O.S stock Mtv but hey I expect there investors to come after me next.

((( Drum Roll If You Please)))

Ladies and Gentlemen you really must try harder. I had a chat with the directors of LSE who have agreed to investigate my complaint further. Enough of the jibba jabba and back to the Q&A with Ecr Minerals. I believe it provided a great insight for its shareholders and personally thank the team for taking the time to reach out to its shareholder base, unlike many I did what I said I would and reported the facts endorsed by the company. They yet again show a strong character and ability. We here at DLC refuse to subscribe to the forum twaddle of more jam tomorrow and instead work on managing expectation in a reliable and robust manner.

The article can be found here

Moving on the 1st month of the audio blog went quite well with around 4250 views, I hope to keep growing the audio daily, Its a simple and quick conduit to connect with the audience, I can only reiterate we are attempting to silence the background sound that saturates sensible decision making by offering up simple principles that work for you (The fellow P.i) I understand that forums remove the links, I guess this unique offering is not to the corporate taste however considering most micro cap companies pay more to the executives running them along with the corporate army of broker,nomad and Pr its fair to say '' often we can clearly see who benefits from such companies ''

The early part of the blog this week seems dedicated to my own self indulgence so lets round up the week and looking at the week ahead. Remember folks its hunting season for the small cap and raising funds is the quarry of the day so be careful not to fall foul of a company ramp in order to house a placing.....

Bushveld -Bmn - Shares have soared after they announced its acquisition of lemur accompanied by positive HY results with shares now changing hands at a significant premium over the past week or so up from 3.75p to 6p

African Potash - Afpo - Since the profit taking call at 4.4p the shares have declined somewhat, In my opinion the SP moved quicker than the market liked thus an inevitable pullback on the cards yet this does not decry the potential.

Gulf Keystone - Gkp - Has finally started its journey from the centre of the earth back out... The techs point to 200p with a extension to 240p. I see no reason to panic or get overly excited as market nature takes its course. The current that may pull the buyers away is the sharp declines in its peer group naming Bowleven and Xcite

Afriag- Afri - This week we have seen significant stock changing hands!!! to me this is almost certain the distressed seller finished. The Sp has been beat like a dusty rug from 2p down to 1p and the reason is very simple. After the Rto there was a company holding stock which under its own policy could not hold or stay invested. I have been watching for sometime and last week took an early tranche ( I own shares )

LekOil - Lek - What an enigma Lek has become, thrust into the limelight with a high value/reward play at Ogo-1 via its partner Afren and then a stack of cash raised at 55p. I'm tempted to call profit taking but 80p looks likely. Stay safe and bank some but this has been a great story ( which has only just begun ) .

Tower Resources - Trp - I know the markets are getting excited but for me the downside risk is forever increasing to 3p buyers. I see that there is potential upside fundamentally but not imminently yet the techs suggest should the 3p mark fall convincingly then there is ultimately further gains. I would use the sense and sensibility compass to navigate.

Beacon Hill - Bhr - I tipped this at 0.80p and while one moron reminds me '' You tipped this at 2p '' he clearly did not read the piece here through my own admission - my error was a 3p TP when the stock topped at 2.98p '' 1% shy please forgive me '' I anticipate further gains but the catalyst to profit taking comes from caution against a speculative nature. De-risk along the way from 1.2-1.3p upwards as we see much bigger gains yet showing an edge of caution.

SyQic list on Monday and I see an exciting passage into 2014 the company have recently announced a strategic partnership with Bango who in turn announced a deal with Google. The balance here seems all right as IPO entry at both ends have the spectrum have been positive/profitable during 2013. I'll be writing more over on www.shareprophets.com here

I will own shares Monday morning myself, Blinking norra that's two lots..... '' Who was that said I'm a paper trader? ''

Enjoy the week ahead as we look for the rewards of tomorrows world.....


All the best

Doc

https://twitter.com/DDS_Doc_Holiday

http://docslaymanschatter.blogspot.com/

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(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and do not adopted as statement of fact)

Friday 22 November 2013

San Leon Energy



Looking for Oil & Gas companies that need further investigation? Have a butchers at San Leon Energy (SLE). Although in the forthcoming weeks I'll be highlighting some of the potential the company holds I shall start with the pigs that are the board of directors. Can I tip a stock where the board is so 100% porcine?
The CEO Oisin Fanning is taking the royal piss out of shareholders as he's paid £1 million per year … 1.3 million EUR to be precise. Obviously to justify the remuneration the other execs have their snouts in the trough to the tune of 750,000 EUR (Ballpark figure)
'You have to pay for talent''
So let’s look at a few facts. 2010 saw San Leon go on an aggressive funding drive taking £59m from the market.
The CEO insists that the company between 2008-2010 had built (In his words) ''A highly attractive portfolio''. This £59m would help the company fast track operations (In his words) ''to provide meaningful and high impact news flow over the next 18 months."
So fast forward 2-3 years what has happened, Well the company has shed weight quicker than Sonia from Eastenders with the share price slumping from 25-35p down to 3-4p.
Bloody hell, give oil Oisin a bonus.
So now we see the company merge and tap shareholders up for another £31 million at just 4.75p. Will this placing deliver even more high impact newsflow than the last? It will at least fund the boardroom greed which is so utterly at odds with the lack of value creation for shareholders.
Legends in their own mind, the board will say they are running a highly successful O&G company, I personally think they are simply yanking the chain of genuine investors.
The company has a right to reply should it feel the red faced need to. On positive note I'll be looking at the potential San Leon hold soon enough, clearly there is some!!! Despite my reservation about the troughery there may be a buy case. I shall have a look shortly but first need to relieve the monkey on my back...

Enjoy the weekend stock pickers.



All the best

Doc

https://twitter.com/DDS_Doc_Holiday

http://docslaymanschatter.blogspot.com/

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(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and do not adopted as statement of fact)

Sunday 17 November 2013

DocsLaymanChatter XV



This week DocsLaymanChatter XV reviews the smallcap with what's hot and not.....
After the cooling off period of small cap miners again along with gold going as quiet as a nun in a monastery we look over some of the companies making the noise of further gains against those not so.

Before thrashing out the aim listed boomers and bust I'd like to address a few issues from the audio this week, After pondering my thoughts best how to break the news to private investors that the principle,strategies and theories are either slightly adrift or blatantly wrong. Without appearing a gobshite anymore than I do from time to time the real question has to be '' What do you actually know and understand confidently? enough to stake your future on it? ''

If we are to believe bulletin board morons or the vast majority of forum commentators the truth is '' Not many and not much ''

If we can face this head on by evolving with the forever changing carousel that is the markets then we increase our own chance of success significantly.

The audio blog is here:  https://soundcloud.com/#doc-h-4/dlc-forum-mentality  (Browse the audios)

In most cases forum fodder develop a way to survive and feed off the crumbs left behind, whilst I don't suggest I hold a get rich quick scheme model I'm a huge fan of taking a defensive outlook with windows of aggresive risk in order to limit the exposure within the deathzone of ice capped stocks. We as investors have to understand the correlation between those that write/report often have agendas and motivations which perhaps is not in the best nature of YOU the P.I. - This would technically include myself.

Once you have drawn a blank canvass you then look to establish robust principles which work for you. Not every italian cut designer shirt looks as good on you as it does on its model....

Each week we talk about these very steps that help us preserve and grow our capital.

OK over to the round up from the week!

ECR Minerals - Technicals look to a positive early session Monday targeting 0.58p level.

FXPO - Longer swing up to 240p

POG - As with a bunch of gold stocks the cycle starts again and on doing so the value at 60-70p will be there for all to see. Similar story with AAZ and MML

BHR - Possible last aggressive decline before rebounding towards 1.4p

SOU - 7.5p targeting 12p easy swing with the drop consolidated and ready to move back up

SMDR - 20% gain to 120p If the techs breakdown then leave it alone

SAR - making recovery noise

GKP - back to 240p by Jan 2014

Please tune into the audio which will this week look at the psychology of private investors which is a further guide to forum mentality and placings, which are already up on the soundcloud page.


All the best

Doc

https://twitter.com/DDS_Doc_Holiday

http://docslaymanschatter.blogspot.com/

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(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and do not adopted as statement of fact)








Sunday 10 November 2013

DocsLaymanChatter XIV



Further gains across aim shows further life in the small cap sector, this week we discuss some of the weeks points of interest in the usual laymans presentation.

The week was filled with IPO excitement as Twitter and Merlin both listed, Twitter near doubled with a 80% gain rewarding the $26 buck subscribers whilst Merlin's entry was a more modest 10% gain. Personally neither Royal Mail, Twitter or Merlin really excited me. The primary reason being the IPO valuations of past peers have been quite loose so coupled with the uncertainty that twitter presents or the likelihood of Royal mail employees crossing swords with its employer from possible industrial action reemerging, Yes they have come to an agreement on pay and conditions but this is no doubt due to the huge leap in faith by the markets with its valuation but I'm pretty sure that this is not the end but the beginning of the unions trying to test the company.

Back to the small cap we have seen significant gains in a number of small cap companies and although DLC audio jumped into action on the China New shout calling the stock down, I also covered Mariana Resource which is a very different review (More below).

To be clear my stand point never waivers when considering the gravity of risk in the aim market and those who let their hearts rule there heads statistically have a greater chance of the scorpion sting in the tail implosion wiping out gains leaving P.I's scratching their heads wondering what happened and where did the herd go? This is a regular emotion that the markets provide you with which is the contrast to complete depression or distraction which comes from being trapped in the wrong companies at the wrong level. We speak this week about the rationale and emotions private investors experience on DLC audio here (This is coming during the week)

APC Technology - The Rochester based company have certainly alerted the market of their presence as the shares are now exchanging hands at 60p from 30p as APC announced in september that they traded ahead of expectation along with a restructure completion via acquisition announced on 4th November.

GGP Greatland - Having covered the company at 0.365p on the shareprophets here  GGP look set to hit the 0.80p TP with a possible move towards 1p. This is an initial guide and will be readdressed once achieved. technicals looked primed with a golden cross back last month coupled with a break over the 200Dsma at 0.43p which adds further to the bullish shift if the Solg/Marl money/herd and sentiment arrive it could well exceed my own expectation.

SAR Sareum - Announced a placing recently at 0.60p which has sent shock waves through the retail markets/Private Investors, this is to the bain of shareholders but a necessity when unable to return any revenues. The cash call is simply part of the course but I'll speak more this week. (Follow the shareprophets)

SOU Sound Oil - Friday the Sp failed to get over 8.3p which for me is the catalyst to its return to 10-12p look to find entry through weakness.

MTV Motive Tv - Offers little to no value but a stack of risk to anyone daft enough to entertain buying.

SCLP Scancell - Look to have fallen into the buyzone, scancell have secured funds with the intention of selling off a proportion of its science with truly encouraging signs coming back from its compounds.

FOG Falcon Oil - Having attended the Manchester proactive I'm yet to publish my findings but in brief the company under its old executive team sunk a fortune into Hungry which was a school boy error thus resulting in a collapse in the companies value as well as the shareholder sentiment to its portfolio, If Falcon secure a new big oil partnership then the stock will reverse and run north.

MARL Mariana - Yet another sensational run mirroring the Solg launch upwards, Both for me seem to be at fair value now. Some will look to call Marl down quickly however I would avoid the speculative opportunity to short marl currently as the potential to shoot a hole in the trade could come from a second coming seen in solg at 7p to 15p.

Please tune into the audio which will this week look at the psychology of private investors which is a further guide to forum mentality and placings, which are already up on the soundcloud page.


All the best

Doc

https://twitter.com/DDS_Doc_Holiday

http://docslaymanschatter.blogspot.com/

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(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and do not adopted as statement of fact)







Saturday 2 November 2013

DocsLaymanChatter XIII



This week we look over the markets as they have played out along with a few points of interest etc. Last weekend I looked at a new concept of engaging more with the fellow P.I through an audio blog which goes out here (DLC - Audio in links)

The audio has really come in a rough uncut format which has been a great success thus demonstrated that reaching out to the old audience has come easier than expected, albeit a great enjoyment of mine writing for the www.shareprophets website, I had lost some of the daily, thrice weekly and weekend readers. I hope folks are enjoying the concept and please feel free to use/share and promote.

The markets have been infused by a number of small cap sensations hitting crazy highs none more so than China New (Cnel) the 500% rise cooled off after normality returned to the unrealistic and downright obscene claims coming down the pipe from forum/bulletin boards. The fact the company was over hyped, over inflated is enough for me to encourage '' Locking in profits '' and whilst there is some potential for a retest I'd say the markets which have seen a bunch of 100%+ gainers through the week  now indicates that the layoff we spoke of here a month or so back now points to a return of the smallcap good times. This is often short lived over the Q4-Q1 period so be sure to make the best of it without capitulating to much the dreaming and fantasy of the retail floons.

I maybe so bold as to call further bumper gains coming from the unexpected of positions but hold that steadfast stance on the robust,reliable stocks as the market is likely to come to you soon....

There are great calls on golds price as the dollar speculators look to significant upside however although the pair may run in tandem against the normal counter balance.

Examples of a company that is just a diabolical play is Motive Tv (mtv), the company have far to many shares in issue to really be taken serious having risen from 5Bn in issue last October to 28Bn today. I think this demonstrates the lack lustre value attributed by the markets to this company and is in my eyes just a Joke stock which is the level just below the '' Dog stock '' level.

The markets work in funny ways sometimes but a bundle of companies that seem to offer upside are as stated in brief: Sphr,Aaz,Sar,Lrl,Sou,Ntog,Bhr,Blvn with a few more on the audio and those to avoid are Ser,Mtv and Frr.

Hope all are enjoying the seasonal fun...



All the best

Doc

https://twitter.com/DDS_Doc_Holiday

http://docslaymanschatter.blogspot.com/

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(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and do not adopted as statement of fact)