Sunday, 25 May 2014

DocsLaymanChatter XIX

Egg and Spoon - Band of Brothers

The band of brother that are the city elite control the hearts and mind of many retail investors, applying military like offensives in order to distract private investors to what's really taking place in the marketplace.

Have you ever considered how a pump on a company has happened, as when you last looked the stock looked stone dead in the water?

Have you ever asked yourself when studying L2 how the wall of resistance has crumbled turning the shares price action on its head?

Have you ever wanted to understand which frequency to tune into in order to get ahead of the curve?

The stark reality is you have to play the game long enough to understand the rules, #dlc is designed to short cut some of the pain! allowing investors time to observe and follow the events without getting too caught up in choppy waters or worse falling foul of the markets curve ball.

If we go back to our school days '' The egg and spoon race '' did you ever see a kid slip there thumb over the egg? did you ever slip your thumb on the egg? kids have a great innovative ability to find ways of winning regardless how good their hand eye coordination is..... '' Its the competitive edge to succeed '' this animal like instinct evolves throughout life and whilst I offer some layman interpretation thus taking away much of the technicality behind this, the frank point is those kids are now playing the game on forums,chat rooms, blog sites and within financial public forums / bulletin boards.

The thumb on the egg is now the individual making the early call on companies!!! again growing in reputation as savvy,cute or infact the great expert. There's no science here.... If you can follow an economic calendar, understand the basics in news flow and quite simply calculate simple formula then you're on the fast track to sliding your thumb over the egg and dashing to the line. This week we know that paternoster (Prs) are overdue end of year results (i have been banging on like an annoying dog barking next door) or that the market is looking at Sound Oil for some operational developments which has all been announced in there previous news flow. or we focus on the shareholder action at gulfkeystone (gkp) as they plan to unhinge the CEO strong hold on the company.

These actions will have material effects on the companies in some form or another as the news steers the markets with reaction coming from these great examples of guerrilla marketing from collective adverts by way of sentiment control (what? what does this mean) P.I's start to harp on about the next big shift and inkeeping in the chain the market capitulates and vice versa. All in the interest of driving liquidity into a stock. This then opens pandora's box to the company? they themselves start to play the trump card (media interviews etc) as often they want to raise capital or inflate their valuation in order to justify some cleverly worked remuneration incentive without shareholders batting an eye because they themselves are in the good times.

This plays out daily, watch and learn before ever entering into the next egg and spoon race.....

All the best


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(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and are not adopted as a statement of fact)

Saturday, 17 May 2014

A Fools Errand - From Blaggard To Laggard

A Vision Of Friendship...

What a wonderfully revealing week, Strange phone calls, threats and misconceptions from the retailers (Private Investors) '' Where to start? ''

Okay the constructive part of this week came from the surprising response to an off the cuff #dlc regarding investor / shareholder psychology in making sense of - '' What's real and what's not '' It looks the same, it feels the same but it stinks to high heaven. Aim companies have to fulfil a criteria to make it public, if your cute with circumnavigating the paperwork, you have enough kudos or bullshit to bowl a googly to the listing authority... '' Well suddenly the dream starts to become a reality '' However this does not mean the dream will be a pleasant one or one you may wish to have again.

Example: (Based On An Unnamed Irish Collaborate)

If your mining gem stones in Helmand province wearing jeans cut down (half your arse hanging out) a dusty pair of military surplus desert boots and a t-shirt saying '' fuck the Taliban or women's lib '' then your unlikely to be doing it very long. Although if your a clever group of entrepreneurial business men with a raft of proven listed (mainly shit) companies registered on or across weaker global markets, well then '' yes you could allude to the fact, this is what you intend on doing backed up by the relevant geology studies and business plan etc, '' then you have a pretty good chance of getting it off the ground '' (watch this space)

Okay okay before you think I'm a raving loony just harness this fact! - Nearly 1/3 off all listed companies on the aim have evaporated since the high's of approx 1800 companies. £24bn was raised over the last decade bringing these companies to market so in theory £8bn has gone a.w.o.l. (This excludes placing's once listed) Jesus the depth of the nepotism, corruption and blatant mismanagement is beyond comprehension.

Were you aware of these facts? Where you aware that the city loses money year on year and has done for over a century thus has to create a continuous vacuum to suck in the retail funds?. I'm not here telling you not to invest, not to trade or not to trust. I simply say know the rules of engagement! Manage your expectations and please remember that this game is built by design to empty your pockets! These basic simple principles will help you, as it has me become a winner and not a statistic.

The picture at the top of the page is my dedication to my friend '' Big '' Dave (I'm showing here through imaginative vision how I see our jackanory journeys together),  you see BD is angry with me right now to the point he had a helping hand get in my face for raising shareholder concerns at a recent investor event whilst making false allegations that I hold no stock. Therefore have no right to comment or ask a question, forgive me but the investor shows are designed for that very reason, needles to say I remain undeterred and steadfast. Perhaps the stupidly suggestive remarks towards my credibility or working relationships (some could take as a threat) hold some water!!! '' They don't so here is my carefully drafted public response ''

((( Cough ))) Fuck ((( Drum Roll ))) You... or as the judge proclaimed recently when referring to your own (cred) ability in winning a legal action - You present '' a weak and thin case ''

Blinking heck why are we northerners such vile creatures to dare ask for clarity or transparency from this murky world. On the other hand over the coming weeks and days we will start to talk about real companies with real assets compounded with tangible,proven ability to exponentially provide value creation.

Today's LaymanChatter maybe something of a little caustic but its nothing more than a component of the viritol nonsense that circulates amongst the city of London.

Tune in over the weekend for a more detailed serious look at what's presenting value both long and short.

All the best


* Note: The gloves can come off Davey boy but remember your public history and the fact I have a pretty good record at finding a turd hidden under a rock, The modern world is but a click away.....

Thursday, 1 May 2014

Sefton Resources '' wtf happened ''

In 2013 the real gravity of nepotism applied by Sefton Resources (LON: SER) surfaced, like chairman Mao '' Big Jim Ellerton '' would sit at his desk fuelling his egotistical belief that '' Nobody would ever be smart enough to find out how the mechanics of the company worked '' - I won't speculate too much as the poor guy cannot defend himself as he lies in his Hawaiian Paradisiacal retreat! Not before systematically destroying Sefton's future

We really have to focus on abuse cases on London AIM as it helps us understand the deep rooted barely regulated workshop or incubator the alternative market can be. The rules of engagement are designed to favour those with the brass neck to front out such complex, convoluted companies. Many offer a fair risk/reward where others offer the Jekyll & Hyde experience of investing within the small cap.

I won't say big Jim's a crook but the fact he no longer heads the failing company says it all. Considering he had also been charging for "further advice" through consultancy agreements was incredible. '' Why not leave the windows and doors open whilst the toxic gas outside threatens to further poison '' Err distract '' the company.

This year we have seen six equity draw downs of which each shows a growing desperation to get there hands on whatever pittance they can. The reason for this is the Bank (Of the West) needs the interest paying on there heavily weighted debt of which the Bank has every right to exercise. Unless changes are made quickly, resulting in a complete overhaul I'd say the end is nigh as the B.O.W pull the strings which in turn will pull down the shutters. No more Sefton Resources.

It's staggering to myself and many commentators that some Private Investors remain insistent in even considering '' let alone holding '' Sefton Resources '' Unless there's a white knight riding to the resuce with $4.7 million dollars then the company is toast. There is no white knight daft enough to throw $4.7million dollars at the Tapia field that costs $5 dollars to make $3 dollars!

Take heed of this case and let its gravity ingrain your investors mind: '' Hitler once said if you tell a lie big enough and for long enough people will start to believe it '' It's almost to late for many but not late enough to retain some dignity.

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(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and do not adopted as statement of fact)