Sunday, 22 September 2013

Weekend Chatter IX

This weeks chatter is in relation to the Q4 market activity going into the new year 2014, we are now hearing the ftse cry for 8000 pts yet only a matter of months ago the 4500 pts yelping took place '' What should we believe? ''

The reality is you shouldn't be buying into this piss and wind statement anymore than the 4500 point jibba jabba, Why? Well as a good buddy of mine in stock world recently said '' The Christmas rally needs some pullback '' I tend to agree that the Ftse is more likely to try the high end area before scaling back. I see the bank of america have closed the silver short and the dollar/gold relationship is becoming disconnected somewhat, this points to a certain pullback of some descript in the ftse and an increase in the precious metal/mineral market.

2014 is the year that the cyclical momentum turns really bullish and there is nothing yet in the market suggesting it will come as a whole before, having said that the small cap is perking up and we are seeing price moves suggesting that the risk is coming back or as a base case the markets are playing low end card games with the retail '' Snap ''

This week I called Us Oil and Gas for the second time leaving a message on BM's mobile to call me, I don't expect he will however felt compelled to clarify a few points, Ironically my pal TW. has wrote about the company which was unrelated to my calling BM yet feel its certainly on folks mind for more than one as it lanquiches at 25-35p (here's Tom's thoughts)

I absolutely get why people love to hashtag you in or @DH me on stock moves to help get eyes on a company they really like, I have one message '' If you're going to do this have the courtesy to run through the companies covered and use the relevant information, I have been banging on about the Zioc rally or the Avm rally for what seems a lifetime '' For me they are not over but i'm focused on finding them before the event not after and during as this is the time to de-risk and lock in gains etc ''

Recently I backed the Vog bid and over the last week I have questioned what the game play is about, Initially i felt the 21 DSMA was likely to cross the 50 DSMA igniting a bullish signal or reversal sign to the heavily hammered share price however the action has remained depressed and saturated as it trades from 1.3p to 1.25p. Most people won't be concerned and I'm not really although it does appear a less than typical example of manipulation with outcome probably an aggressive one. If that shift happens and the journey goes north to the 200DSMA at 1.6's then make sure you follow the money in. If it goes 1.15p or below then it could well test 1p... '' My feeling is the stock is posturing for an aggressive move which would reward the long investor ''

Bulletin board morons who whip up stock pages must feel great when they execute their sell as the herd pile into a company with their pockets full of '' hopes & dreams ''

Guys you really in control of your own destiny and if this is the only strategy to win then its a bit like picking a fight with the down on his luck broken sole drunk with his hands tied behind his back.... It really is not big or clever, WAKE UP now and take counsel on how you can improve your game rather than getting sucked into the implosive vacuum of this battle field.

Okay back to the norm, last week I mentioned I was speaking to tomCo's CEO Paul Rankine as always in my unorthodox or somewhat unique manner we spoke of the companies pros and cons. The fact that the SP has performed well since the initial review at 1.3p would suggest that the market is waking up to the potential and whilst I agree with P.R on this basis I was quick to remind him that the SP was not down in the doldrums because the market was enthusiastic about the company, Its getting there but still maintain the TP in the write up here:

'' If tomCo want a stand and stage at the UK Investor show 2014 then it will be arranged in a jiffy via a simple email or phone call to me ''

The retail investor world is still obsessed by the proactive interviews and articles, I spoke with one really decent guy and CEO at a well known aim listed company, I had to reiterate a simple point, 500 hits on a stocktube video or nearly 5000 hits on an article I wrote on stockopedia. Come on proactive if you're charging the companies good money to churn this shit out at least have the decency to give the company a stage. To validate my own thoughts I reviewed the numbers that tuned into the GKP court case news which was huge for this company and also something I believe genuine investors were keen to watch play out...

1000 hits and there is nothing to say how unique the audience is, I like proactive and I totally respect the unprecedented presence it has but if i'm honest down at the tier 3 end of the market i just don't rate their impact or influence on aligning investor with company. I'm not a confrontational person but one that will happily argue facts over fiction or myth.

Sound Oil tank on what is clearly good news of de risking its Nervesa well however news gaps are perhaps responsible for this temporary decline, It looks to be a BUY at 8p

Black Mountain is either a big riser on news of production or a bear like hibernation stock

Corero Network seem to be stirring on attention as the recovery play unfolds, I hope to speak with the company this week so will report findings.

Gulf Keystone hover around £2 as the CEO announces of CNBC that they're not talking with any majors as yet and confirm their intention to LSE listing from aim.

Westminster Group keep ticking along as anticipation grows on there chance of landing a game changing contract.

Bowleven trade down to the 55p area to buy as one bunch of retail buyers become frustrated at the purchase and hold of the wholesale winners stock. '' In layman's its back at wholesale price ''

Thor Mining look interesting at 0.275-0.35p and we watch for the break out of the range once the OH has cleared

Frontier look to has a seller but a compelling story of mixed/diverse assets

Mtv still a piss and wind company without a serious investment case nor business model (In my humble opinion)

RedRock Resource trade above the cash balance of the divested assets in Greenland, one which may become a traders target.

TomCo Permitting news and the speculative impact of this has helped boost the company's share price as investor energy looks for the right result to get the project away.

Physiomics trade 0.09 - 0.15 as shareholders plea for some real meat on the bone news gets continuously ignored, good product but one that is operating in an unforgiving and out of favour sector. (for now!)

Enjoy the week

All the best


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(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and do not adopted as statement of fact)

Sunday, 15 September 2013

Weekend Chatter Vol VIII


Good Morning Folks,

Sunday morning and all's well, As expected there has been some slight balance installed into the markets over the last 7-14 days with the excitement easing off somewhat. '' This is nothing more than the likely becoming the actual '' Aim has shown its sign of life and the commods have alerted investors to its riches as gold,silver,oil and ore swing!

The short money goes long and the same impact traders see the shortcomings once again as the rebound subsides and then they scale in again to scalp the tops and aggressively short sell the stock/comod/indices

This is the game, however the shorters paradise is in my humble opinion declining in the small cap arena as the curve of fortune now sits with the buyers in well run,robust reliable companies. Tangible value is key thus the reason I beat the drum hard on Zanaga at 10-15p. The Aim market is something of an enigma and once you have the code you can decipher the messages being delivered....

This is where I now feel at home hence the midweek TA call on Fjet at 4.05p Sadly the editor of is honeymooning so the call was published the following day at 5p (Still plenty of gains to 7p) '' I wish Tom and the deluded lefty or the new Mrs W all the very best of wealth,health and happiness.

After 6 Months of writing for and I have reached a figure average of 17% per investment call with a near 4:5 conversion ratio from 32 calls (roughly) . I see people selling their product with rates more or less...

Mine are free and 100% transparent as all published in the public domain. This discounts the Miningmaven v Doc 5 day challenge which are going relatively well. I negotiate with regarding a feature there, should you want to see it '' Email the company and suggest they put me in place '' I mean half the company and a lifetime supply of Costa coffee really isn't much to ask.


Back to the usual flash point covers on stocks of interest this week.

As people queued up to tell me the value of Rem,Solg and Mtv I'm pleased to say I didn't buy into the dream and whilst there has been some bumper gains there have also been some bumper losses. This is dangerous for your portfolio unless you are truly disciplined.

FastJet: Announce no reason for the rise yet the SP still gains, I guess there is a reason although the company are not aware or not letting on! The rise was a technical one from a heavily oversold position guys....

Ecr Minerals: Continued to hold some of the gains from 0.1p as the company posture to change the direction of the company. No deal is final and tax is an ongoing saga, I don't rate or like Themac hence I believe they should divest and look to use this finance on a more savvy play. I think they (The Bod) would and could do better moving into the 4th of July type play.

Lekoil: Continue of the ST at Ogo-1, Afren directors are piling into afren and whilst Ogo-1 is not a huge proportion of there p/f it did add £85m to its mcap on initial release, If the ST comes back '' Significantly higher '' Than initially thought when it exceeded expectations. Then Lek have the ability to multi bag.

Victoria oil&gas: Vog has to many shares in issue, The company has been on a terrible run and sentiment is at an all time low, '' What does this say '' Prick up the ears guys as infamous bear raider Evil Knievel is now long of vog and eventually the shit stops rolling down hill!!! The technicals suggest that the worst is over, speculative buyers should start to load in '' Looks a Buy to me ''... This is not a risk free trade however the 50 and 200dsma are now the target. If the Rsi fails on its march 13 hold then run to the hills

Veredes Management: Fly's up on a lot of speculation. Look at the news from this company! Lack of accounts, resignation of nominated adviser and no clear direction - Lacklustre performer.... '' Is this an investment or a targeted stock to lean on for a maximum return for an investor group? Questions to answer in my opinion...

Gulf Keystone: Good news in from Gkp with the legal wranglings closing and the future looking brighter, If only the CEO had not sold 10 million shares in this company when he did. Surely this is having some effect on confidence.

Westminster: Wsg keep adding to the ever growing contract book, With plenty of reason to be proactive towards the company its next leg should come from further significant additions to its contract order book. From a technical perspective the stock is/has fast approaching the 100% fib point as well as some top end tiredness signs.

Thor Mining: I have wrote about thr recently, the company has done a duel funding round thus securing the company's future, with the company unlikely to do a third and with a clearing overhang the reality is significant upside once this is out the way, think about the correlation between others in the Thor peer group and its effect to the SP.

Sound Oil: Announce an independent broker note giving a 15p unrisked value against a 21p risked. The company need to show the Laura and Badile cards as its unlikely there value is really attributed in the coverage.

Next week I'll be chatting to Tomco Energy regarding their recent news release and its future moves into high impact shale. They have the acreage but do they have a high reward strategy for its shareholders, current share price says the jury is out!

The usual loonies cry and crib about something and nothing, charlatan,conman,scam artist and all round low life - Stroll on forum loonies '' do you actually think i give a stuff '' I'm always open to discuss all of my actions.

I guess the end of the month will be the real start of the next cycle although confirmations needed, I'll be making a few more technical calls on companies over the coming weeks, Anyone who is still in the dark age please sign up to and take note that tickets are out for the biggest investor show in the UK in 2014.

Enjoy the week

All the best


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(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and do not adopted as statement of fact)

Sunday, 8 September 2013

Exclusive Market Review From The Retail

Thoughts on the week...

Another fun filled week with investors trying to convince me that there is huge upside from Solg and Rem towards teen level (Wake up).......

Rather than revert to the coverage of a number of select stocks we today chat about the markets behaviour and the effect the contrast is having on smallcaps main indicator '' Sentiment ''

DLC via SMVP made the BiG call on the markets reversal earlier in the year, and all the followers of cyclical trends and the big fun super cycle will now have there heads pricked like a meerkat as the initial leading run has come into effect. I guess we have to understand that the next few weeks (If not already) has seen the start of the minor pullback in aim however this is likely to be weak and inconsequential in the scheme of things.

Miners are correcting and the focus has to be on natural resource companies that have kept their head above water in austere times and are now clearing funding overhangs thus actioning aggressive re rate/corrections.

The Aim has contracted more than many could ever had thought, The shocking reality is from 1700 companies we now have 1100-1200 listed. '' Where did they go? '' and where the hell are the Bi$$ions of dollars raised and invested over the last half decade? I will be detailing much more on this soon however plum the think tank of the sober P.I's...

How many major journal outlets have informed you that your chance of survival! let alone success has diminished significantly, While we hear the Sxx/Gkp/Rkh/Xel success stories we fail to hear the horror of failure as we position ourselves in the most unnatural,immoral,unfair and downright treacherous environment - '' The Stock Markets ''

This week the biggest Investor show in the UK was announced where I'm penciled in principle to attend and speak of my personal experiences on circumnavigating this arena, UKinvestor here:

Today I had a great chat to my buddy BMD who contrary to belief is not satan dressed in a lacoste tracksuit he is in fact a very savvy yet unforgiving sole when dealing with the crooks that help create the oasis of bullshit currently being orchestrated in London.

I agree on some of his theories and although we are very different people I do believe in what Tom and Dan have stood for regarding the high profile bring down, It sends out a message to the small cap fonies '' We are onto you and have you in our sites ''

All the best

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(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and do not adopted as statement of fact)

Sunday, 1 September 2013

Weekend Chatter VII

Stock image of 'silhouette, wealth, currency'

This week I took on Mining Maven via Shareprophets tipping small cap Oil&Gas companies against MM small cap mining companies each day for a week. Initially I expect the Mining Maven selections to race ahead a little further initially however feel I have the security against the high volatility/reward picks.
The full story is over on SMVP here:
The outlook remains of great interest as I hold the thought that we will have one last weak bear raid before the confirmed bull run actually takes hold. Aim still looks relatively good as i believe the bears  are aware how poor the next raid will play out hence now hedging,closing and looking long on the small cap sector.
Noricum: Had some decent news which helped underpin a decent correction in the market, Golds now turning its sights on $1450 and the Aim is still warm.
Goldstone: Has perked up showing the appetite for the miners currently
Blackmountain: Proceeds to grow on speculation of mine production news being somewhat imminent, What is pertinent to Bmz is the direct relationship with the bullish mine/metal sector.
Nostra Terra: Trade down as investor confidence weakens by despondent/depressed posters which is usually a dirty big Buy signal to me, The markets missed a signal here which is why '' I'm In ''
US Oil&Gas: Circus still ongoing as Investors are stifled by an all round lacklustre performance, Investors deserve better and should look to channel energy into the full story and those standing on the BOD.
Sefton: The battle over Jim Ellertons reign is over with mission accomplished, In order to broker the end of the war I assume it will come when my friends Tom Winninfrith and Dan Levi are fully compensated with a open letter of apology (However this is how I see it and not an actual fact)
Sound Oil: With investors now posturing for the nervesa news I couldn't go this week without mentioning the eternal support from Crudehope whose birthday recently passed. Perhaps JP could throw up the bonza results to compliment Crude turning 60 ;-)
Lek Oil: I spoke to both PR companies last week regarding Lek. News in September! Sp pulls back briefly and the stock is sucked up (Classic play) - This is now looking more and more like a 50-100p stock in no time at all as the JV discovery news is extended on from '' Significant discovery '' I'm not sure how Afren will word this but it could well sound like a GKP like Rns.
Red Rock Resource: RRR lifted after news the Greenland asset has sale agreed which will leave Red Rock with a fair interest and a bunch of cash '' hence the SP reaction ''
FastJet: Fast has been slow coming forward with a death spiral funding agreement and a tennis game of news -place, news - place rally shareholders are now feeling down on there luck! The story at the surface seems superb however the background moves not so!
Rem&Solg: Epic runs in both companies have really rewarded investors over the last few weeks however all good things come to an end. (Reducing capital exposure is never a bad thing)
Bowleven: Bowleven seem to be back at the 50-60p area which for me is as good a value stock as Xel,Rkh etc as the market really are not giving this company the relief (Yet)
Companies to watch in my opinion are Rkh,Fri,Wsg,Avn,Nfc,Gbp,Bp,Afri,Tom to name a few
I hope you are all enjoying the bouyant time but not getting ahead of yourself. '' Lock in gains ''
All the best
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(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and do not adopted as statement of fact)