Investor '' Get together '' London & Manchester 2015

 

Private Investors '' Get Together ''

In 2015 I intend to arrange a number of get together's, these can be a simple pint of ale and a chat or a more formal wine & canapes like arrangement. Needless to say the primary aim is to stimulate group discussions over a host of common interests namely the stock markets, we've had a positive initial response from twitter to the London & Manchester suggestions however this is a social invitation to one and all.

The idea is to cater to the numbers thus anticipate that London is currently a 65/35 split. This will not deter or prevent either date taking place, it simply means we will try to now gauge and cater for each group accordingly. There is no hard sell or pitch coming your way, this is wholly a retail event which relies on you the attendee to pitch up and get involved with active chat/debate or conversation. I'm no great host nor do intend to take folk by the hand although a welcome greeting and brief introduction with a drink is the least we can do.

In September we had about 25 private investors meet after an oil barrel conference, this '' get together '' went well so hope to replicate it throughout the year. I/we have no allegiance to any market related business, but should one or more companies decide to foot the food and booze bill then I'm not going to argue.

Let me be 100% clear, there will not be any brokers / PR / corporate's or companies invited to these events unless they adhere clearly to the simple rule of open dialogue in an open forum. I feel its a pertinent point to cover as other events (not mine) have reported that pushy brokers had been trying to run the jedi mind trick over them (pitching services).

In September we had a solid group of private investors along with, an aim listed Oil&Gas CEO, the infamous BrokerManDan, super cool technical guru Zak Mir, Myself and the incredible '' Day trading magnum @BaronTrading '' During 2015 we'll follow a similar line, there is no criteria so lucky mug punters, expert tech guys, fundamental overseers, forensic accountants, sophisticated and unsophisticated investors, newbies or those looking to bounce ideas around are truly welcome.

The average running time is a few hours but i myself enjoy a beer so this could easily run over, I hope to meet with you soon for an informal chat and beverage. '' We are simple folk with simple needs '' do not be put off as many often can be by such events. The unknown is not to far from a night at the local pub chatting amongst friends.

Register your interest here: investormeetings@outlook.com

If you have any questions, suggestions or concerns please email in, over the next few weeks we will carve out dates, meeting places and times. don't expect bells and whistles but do expect an enjoyable experience.

All the very best

Doc

DocsLaymanChatter XXXV

The last 7-10 days have seen a clear shift in sentiment throughout aim, we have seen a bunch of companies which have been weighted to the bottom seemingly start their shift toward respectable levels, sadly many of these are still very much depressed as private investors are still nursing the pain of aim within their portfolios. For weeks if not months we here at Docslaymanchatter have been predicting a turn in the tide for one very simple reason, and that is the distinct need for cash!

Many aim listed companies do not generate revenue and those that do often don't create enough to keep the train pootling along the track, this ignites the annual funding season which looks to be fast approaching. Either we will see a jump up in liquidity, interest and placing's or by the summertime we will have dozens upon dozens of junior resource, tech & bio companies hitting the skids going bust. I tend to follow the premise that the tier 3 city outfits need  these leeches of the investment world as much as the low life facilitators need them.

A huge proportion of the square mile is solely reliant on companies that are in incubation, this is the terminology for genuine embryo companies but also lifestyle pay day creations. Our job is to try and spot the good apples in the barrel, clever investors recognise the cyclical nature of all aim companies thus find trade opportunities across a broader range. We have to be a matter of fact about which ethos we are following, to jump back and forth can be a challenge. Personally I don't follow any set guidelines as after years I find the markets more compelling and rewarding by moving inline with the changes but this can be something of a fast pace to follow so advise against it until you have a strong set of principles that are working effectively.

Like learning to drive you have to feed the wheel and use your mirrors, after you pass you can roll your seat back and crossover hands, although similar to investing you need to have the credentials and ability to pass the test before you can hit the open road alone. Lets look at a few companies that are becoming interesting in the small cap markets.


TEA: Formerly SPR the company has changed name, moving away from the button company sperati. TEA team of Jason Drummond and well known uber wealthy investors has pegged this tiny micro cap on the map. Investors like myself are banking on the company making positive steps however this is more a forecast from a blinded position rather than some inside line into the TEA nerve centre.

Union Jack Oil: Seems we have been talking about this company for a while, we have had some pretty good moves in the company, yet we all stand by our beds waiting for the official line that we have a commercial well which is producing ahead of expectation. This would be the ideal end to a turbulent run for many of the partners operating in testing times, it's my belief that a good result here will bode well for all including Union Jack. We await the confirmation over the forthcoming weeks, remember folks UJO has a strong cash position and are funded through to 2016.

Sound Oil: Have bounced back hard after a slip towards 9p after the OP crash, The company has a full nearterm calendar with Nervesa and Badile pending. To be clear this is the second drill in an already commercial project at Nervesa, the company in 2015 should if the roster is to be believed have a solid cash flow and big operation finalising towards year end.

Sefton Resources: My old mate Daniel Levi (BMD) has his work cut out here, but then Dan probably wouldn't have it any other way. Sefton has to have the cross guarantee lifted as soon as possible to allow the company to breath again. Without BMD intervention Sefton would have surely suffocated at the hands of the old regime. I wish him well and hope to book a busy slot in his diary to catch up - stay tuned to www.valuethemarkets.com for that interview.

Paternoster Resources: Once Zoltav finalise the sale of there remaining few PRS shares the companies SP should rebound nicely above the current level of 0.22-0.25p I anticipate a correction north of here and with a rumoured £20,000 of Zoltav overhang left to go we should see that sooner rather than later.

Solomon Gold: Jumped from the oversold position as private investors were tempted into the stock once some liquidity returned, I bought this company based on its depressed position with a theory that whilst the 5yr chart said 1.3p possible the markets were nowhere near as bad as 2013 when the whole european currency was about to collapse (which it hasn't to date yet!)

A few companies to watch for interesting developments are Boxhill Tech,African Potash,Sunrise Res,Uk Oil & Gas,Barron Oil,Verona Pharma and Wishbone Gold.

All the best


Doc



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(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and are not adopted as a statement of fact)

3D Dave '' A Man Of His Word Or A Wanker? ''

So 3D Dave alienates himself from the very retail investor he uses his twitter feed to communicate with? not a great move for 3D Dave but hey don't take my word for it, take the rafts of folks who feel you are persecuting them for holding a different view than you.

The Draconian dictatorship may work with the paid for services in and around the city but the everyday punters need people to help fill in the gaps, sadly your dislike for me or your power hungry ego is driving you down into the shit you've created for yourself.

We know 3D Dave, is a loose cannon with the facts:

3D seismic @ HH                    - Fail 
No LGO placing                      - Fail 
No REM placing                      - Fail 
Ukog fundraiser                        -Fail

Just a few of the claims that 3D Dave had claimed were not on the agenda but actually were being worked or worse to proclaim you have some technology you actually ' do not '

On Monday you attended the ' Free Speech & Liberty Pizza House ' to promote UK Oil & Gas, a company I believe will go up in value (By the way) however the irony comes in the small hours when you tweet out to your followers:

'' All on my twitter, if i see you follow that Doc Holiday avatar you will be blocked ''

Now in order to be a man of your word you must ban a whole host of people, so I'll help you by pointing out folk you must block immediatly. Now I have a very funny feeling you won't remove  these people as this will stop you getting your word out. However it will help genuine private investors understand just how little they mean to you as clearly if you '' Block Holiday Followers '' then you should do so without prejudice, That's assuming you value each person equally '' I fear you do not ''

Harpers - Block
Christian Dennis - Block
Craig Ribton - Block
Matt Lofgran - Block
Solo Oil & Gas - Block
Darren Attwater - Block
Zak Mir - Block
Tom Winnifrith - Block
BrokerManDan - Block
Shareprophets - Block
Malcy Graham Wood - Block
Gary Newman - Block
Ben Turney - Block
TipTv - Block

The above people, you follow or they follow me, remove them immediately? or pipe down you egotistical clown, your own blinking company is following me. Your making yourself appear very silly with this cavalier attitude.

You won't block these people because they have an influence, respect or decency that you need.

For those of you that have been banned as a result of not bowing to 3D Daves bonkers request I salute you.

Bests

Block (Doc)

Todays DLC Audio Here, 3D Dave, Tom W, Corruption, Reform

David Lenigas '' Refers me to his lawyers ''

The great David Lenigas after the release of my Stellar Resource research document, refers me to his lawyers:

''This has just been sent to the litigation lawyers.''
David Lenigas
Chairman

 

Clearly the document which was published at the shareprophets here was enough to get a bee in old Daves bonnet, I mean collating information which is available within the public domain and from an enterprising line of questioning from the UK's '' Freedom of information act '' was just too much for the serial entrepreneur and aim director. I guess the whole freedom of speech theory is lost by bully boy's who automatically refer those with the balls to speak out to his '' Litigation Lawyers '' my fomral response here is: '' fuck you and i'll see you in court '' If fat Dave thinks by sending such an email response to me is some kind of warning shot over the bows then he is sadly wrong, Long before I decided to share my research findings, I spoke with industry experts, I also gave the companies (STG & GMOW) time to review the document in which I encouraged them to:

 

Correct

Comment

Dissect

 

Or refute any claims within the document which were inaccurate, inappropriate or they felt warranted comment. I also point to effect on the comapnys shareprice at time of release. The mathmatical gangsters will find the document has had no detrimental financial effect on the company at the time of release.

 

If by tweeting via social media has some type of impact I'd say Dave should look closer to home, he himself has already run into a modest bottom slapping from his advisers after misleading investors by commenting (3 times) that HorseHill had 3D seismic data. '' Which it did not '' (according to Neil Ritson)

 

Now I accept that UK Oil & Gas is in better shape than the markets are valuing it, infact I'm a shareholder however this does not detract from the utter reckless red faced manner in which Dave operates.

 

I now await the next move by the big dog, but if the mediterranean Oil & Gas case is anything to go by then I shouldn't need worry too much as the judgment by Mr Justice Males commented:

 

'' The claimants case fails at every stage '' in Ref to litigation between LGO energy (Formerly Leni Gas & Oil) and Mediterranean Oil and gas (subsidiary Malta Oil) . - March 2014 (Find that judgment here)

Perhaps the big fella should hire Mog's counsell to stick it to me at least they could say they've had recent success's dealing in litigation cases with Dave. Robin Williams once said '' Never pick a fight with an ugly person, they've got nothing to lose ''
 

I'm something of a star wars geek, this notification reminds me of a certain Owen Delstar the officer in the republican army who fought in the Mandalorian wars... I won't dribble on any further on this just yet but I may do in the future. (Geeks like me love star wars trivia)

 

All the best

 

Doc

 

* Kindly I have accepted Tom's invitation back to the UK Investor show 2015, I've been mulling over it for sometime but today made the decision that facing companies that mislead or worse need to answer for there actions so now look forward to engaging in my favourite past times '' see ya'll there...''

 

 

 

 

 

 



The Fall Of Management Resource Solutions

Management Resource Solutions pitched up on aim only a matter of weeks ago, with all the gear and no idea the companies shares started to drift from the outset. Sadly I bought the (30p) IPO promote as the company gave a good account of itself, with a few whispers from decent city guys and the scene was set.

Whilst I accepted the short period of time on the aim exchange for the fledglings wasn't being kind to them i also took the statement made to me by the CEO as credible on 5th Jan 2015:

''We will be discussing an announcement for later this month.


This coupled to the announcements via official and unofficial lines (media reports) where the company (MRS) informed '' We look forward to updating the market in January '' based on these statements and my own findings I took the company on face value so to learn on the 29th of January that the company intended on making no official release other than interim's, coming before the end of March 2015... - 

The smarmy pup at the PR company (FTi) really tried to run the rule over me with his clever comments ''  what would you like them to do '' by way of sarcastic suggestion of no material changes, no update '' - and there had been no material changes in his eyes...

My response to this in no uncertain terms was unrepeatable but followed the line of '' Listen you cheeky little prick, is it too much for shareholders to expect, the company do what it says and that performance has been disappointing to boot ''

The CEO miraculously corroborated with a statement in which a reply came via email 10 minutes after i put the phone down to (FTi's) PR twit . The CEO claimed i was now asking in an aggressive manner, which is funny as nearly all execs that I have pulled up on such shenanigans unanimously question the way in which i ask a question.

After the shocking broker valuation of 38p i felt compelled to investigate further! - It is rumored that MRS were a little shy on completing a number of financial transactions. Did this result in both the companies turnover being affected as well as having a material effect within the broker analysts valuation? Was this related to payment received from Papua New Guinea?

(Note: Rumors are not facts until we can prove them)

MRS CEO was proud to talk about the company's year on year performance (doubling turnover year on year for seven years) which i have to say was part of the appeal to me here from an established company, however I now ask has today's '' Rushed out RNS flagged yet another red flag ''

All along the company intended on doubling turnover accept today the company said:

 it is anticipated that the financial results for the year ended June 2015 will be materially ahead of full year 2014.

Which is not the magic double claim now is it? The RNS smacked of desperation as this release was only constructed to counter a drop which was created by the failure to meet the expectation of the markets which they have created.

After reviewing the Admission document it also shows a key (significant) shareholder's ends in March, this would then potentially open the floodgates once again.

Daniela Athan, who will be directly or indirectly interested in approximately 16.6 per cent. of the Enlarged Share Capital on Admission, has undertaken to the Company and (for so long as it is the Company’s Nominated Adviser) Northland that (i) for three months from Admission she will not dispose of any interest in the Ordinary Shares in which she is interested on Admission

This presents yet more uncertainty and whilst I accept that the company if able to meet all of the expectations and milestones originally set out would have done well, the clear change of sentiment and momentum will now fuel a lacking of confidence.

The markets expect profits to be ahead - so must now exceed that
The markets expects turnover to double - the markets must exceed this
The shareholders expectations and company performance are fragmented

It does not take a rocket scientist to work out where this is going! On that basis I hope I have done the honorable thing in sharing my own bitterly disappointing analysis.

IPO 30p
Today 15p

Todays audio on what's changed with Management Resource Solutions here

The next few weeks could see further loss, buyer beware...


Bests


Doc

* Note: 12th January the chairman's other aim company went into liquidation - Again why no Rns when it happened?

DocsLaymanChatter XXXIV

This week we have seen some insane moves in both Afren & Enquest both could have made and lost you money, however these companies have each released data which has surprised the markets but could we have foreseen such events? It's my humble opinion that the board of directors being shady (Questioned over unauthorized payments) and struck off is a key flag to avoid, following up we are seeing and hearing Afren could possibly default on some of it's debt which leaves a wide open gap for a further thrashing or a speculative rebound. In such circumstances you are running a real risk and although i accept that the teens are not a bad entry point, you could well be dancing with the devil.

Enquest on the other hand are putting some simple practices together in order to help combat the fiscal change in it's OP, recovery rates are not so cheap yet with some clever and measured changes the company can rise out the fifty buck storm in oil (for now).

IGAS look to be in the shit in more ways than one, the OP tanking, shale permissions looks questionable and to top it all off the board (like a few others) have been taking liberties in office which has lead to numerous accusations over the moral behavior of its CEO. Sentiment in fracking has dried up somewhat which is really being shown out in the company's share price. The unequivocal fall from grace has been hard, however the fish bone in the throat is the money IGAS board has received as part of the equity first scandal.

Sable Mining has shot up by 250% which is great for intraday traders or those bargain shop opportunists, however they need a lot of cash and I don't see they have it, the iron ore game is screwed for at least another year or two and of course Liberia has had Ebola & Civil unrest to tackle. I can see this initial move triggering a lot of volatility which again presents the opportunity to make or lose fortunes. But for me the recipe could go toxic thus sit in the bleachers watching this play out.

Emotionally retail investors are starting to feel the heat of what can only be described as a liquidity famine, this has left many many investors seeing mirages in every direction they travel. The dry abyss that we seem to come across is now starting to tire private investors out, but i urge each and everyone to remain measured. The markets are built by design to empty your accounts, stupid irrational decision making can not only hurt you, but also set you back years. Remain calm, confident and coy, but more importantly you really must adjust the dial to suit the prevailing markets.

Today I had a chat with a truly decent man that had suffered a nasty shock which may act as a reminder of what life's all about, Thankfully and by the grace of the gods this experience has ended well however it's one story that resonated closely to my own life experiences, On this note I suggest folks remind themselves what,where and how they hope their journey through life will play out. Never forgetting '' If you don't have the peace, love and harmony of a happy life around you, then much of the market battle is already lost ''

A very sobering 4 minute audio here may resonate '' Life - It all goes back in the box '' 

Union Jack Oil: Unofficial images are popping up on twitter with a renewed interest in the stock, I've remained patient throughout the Wressle 1 (discovery) process, which is now at the flow testing area in the cycle, this play is not without risk however at 0.18p the upside is huge to the downside which is protected by £3m cash balance. On this basis (if your speculative) this is just about the best time to join the story, make your decisions and enjoy the ride - If you're looking to take a decent measured risk I see UJO now as that micro cap oil company to consider.

Management Resource Solution: On friday Northland capital offered it's initial coverage with a Buy recommendation at a 70% premium to its share price, needless to say this is post news which has been quoted from the company. Clearly we expect this to be comforting however expect to see MRS follow it's year on year performance over the previous 7 years.

Westminster Group: With the Ebola chatter slowly starting to swing the corner i'm hopeful that WSG will be repaired for its commitment in SL, life and troubles we experience are absolutely nothing like that of the people of West Africa. I for one hope the change in sentiment and decline in Ebola cases stimulate the extension of better fortunes to blow over the security company.

Nostra Terra: The share price dropped as if hit by Mike Tyson last week but to me this is nothing more than a blinking cheapening of the company that are in actual fact making much more positive steps within its field. A negative reflective hit has come from the U.S shale which is not what Ntogs about hence I see an uplift and correction from here (0.17p)

UK Oil & Gas: I have expected a nudge in direction for a little while, looks like we are waiting a little bit longer however don't be surprised if this gets a hot poker up the backside.



All the best


Doc



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http://docslaymanschatter.blogspot.com/

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(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and are not adopted as a statement of fact)

DocsLaymanChatter XXXIII

Another day another dollar! the markets are full of discontempt, dissolution and drama. One can ponder over the correct use of time or infact his/her purpose within the stock markets, from personal experience when the shit hits the fan previously i took myself away for a little over a year learning (From an incredible teacher) technical analysis which 80% to 90% of my trades are made. I have found over the years that the markets mechanism is just about as important as any other divergence or indicator, thus understanding this is paramount.

I spent all of half an hour analysing the complete flaws in Brokermandan's recent piece on Wressle 1. or the utter rubbish in his claims from his last UK onshore scoop however come to the conclusion life is to short to bicker.

I have however constructed some thoughts here so feel free to listen or not as it may be

When people are suffering in the markets emotions run high, the trick here is to remain as balanced as possible, no article can change the OP or sentiment surrounding it! no opinion without factual based evidence shall have any great detrimental effect however your due diligence should be the answer to your final decision making. The markets are fraught with deciet,lies and misinformation and this is from the unlikeliest of places, BOD's, PR companies, Tipsters & Commentators etc etc. Much of this is a bi-product of how the very arena (small cap markets) are formulated which makes simple tasks extremely difficult, but if you #KnowTheGame and what you're up against then you have a fighting chance.

UK Oil & Gas Are a company I'm backing once again and within the same price region. Ukog is yet to stir however contrary to BMD's claims of big scoops which lead to a share price collapse, I myself prefer to be the lone voice talking about a company at the bottom end of the cycle. Many of you are aware that about a year ago I mentioned this company whilst responsibly suggesting the entry and exit. I admit i wasn't 100% correct but 400% is not to be sniffed at. I think we will see a mammoth run again soon here regardless of OP.

Rare Earth Minerals Sadly you cannot take the management seriously when you read statements from the operator suggesting they have not seen recent reports released by REM, this opens a can of worms as to what's going on? we then find the company (against DL suggestion) was infact raising cash '' yet again '' I do hope for investors that REM comes good however have my doubts. So until all parties start singing from the same hymn sheet i remain cautious. I do however believe if the RSI breaks down we may see 0.60p but accept that if the RSI holds 50+ then a return (rebound) to 1p+ is very much on.

Frontera Resources Seems to be growing with anticipation, this is not a new story! the CEO has been slogging it out since the late 90's in true Aim oil fashion this story is extremely compelling. If it starts to get any real traction other than the annual pump for funds then I'd say its worth considering it but buyers beware that your targeting 0.50p region on the downside and a few pence to the upside. On that basis it would seem fair game however my own DD on the company and its management leaves one big question mark ?

GoldenSaintResources Appears to have jittered on expected news, however the vibe picked up again friday so this could well be the indication that the green lights coming on news/deal flow. Remember folks an uplift in volume and interest (particularly in bad times) is a big flag for news, couple this to a cheeky pull back a few sessions earlier and you have the recipe for RNS - stay tuned...

Union Jack Oil Contrary to the audio above, its pretty simple you either see £3m+ in cash (£4.4m mcap) with a 3-5 well program as a buy,sell or hold. I believe the downside is limited against a decent run of a potential few hundred percent. On that basis its '' job done '' but for gods sake lets not bitch or bicker.

BP. I mentioned on my twitter feed a few days ago when we witnessed the crazy drops in Enquest, Afren and BP that BP (Although not too popular) would be a safer haven for some of your cash, we may see further spatz of volatility but this provides oppourtunity with the likes of BP. - Happy hunting folks.

Savannah Resources Has been the focus of much debate but at these 2.2p levels the company is starting to look attractive, they need to get the hard core value RNS out instead of the spurious ones and P.I should really point the finger of blame to the company rather than fellow investors as clearly decision were made which have not be great for those who backed the story at 3.6p. The CEO has a bit of making up to do but I'm sure he has the minerals (quite literally) to do this.


All the best


Doc



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http://docslaymanschatter.blogspot.com/

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(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and are not adopted as a statement of fact)