DocsLaymanChatter XXXVIII

After a less hectic week this week we hear much of Olympus falling as the Greek woes slowly starts to increase on the fear-o-meter, to mimic Draghi of the ECB its getting critical but not quite imminent - does this mean we are being prepared for a slap around the EU face as the earthquakes start to rumble again regarding the single currency collapse. It's early days yet (apparently) but stay tuned or more importantly on your guard.

The markets are compressed with terminology/facts of misinterpretation which often causes conflict and confusion, this is one of the many reasons when communicating with other investors within the private investment world i believe we should be forgiving or understanding. Money,fear,loss can manifest itself in mysterious ways which is a sad reflection of the outfall of the darker parts of AIM. As investors lose on AIM there emotional level evolves into a manic state of mind which again is a bi product of the markets allowing the game to issue you a final knockout blow. Don't become a statistic of the game '' Know it ''

This week we look at a few very different companies for very different reasons, liquidity is a stable part of your investment diet, never be caught up in too many illiquid stocks at any one time... - Hear todays ADVFN podcast with Justin (Sharepickers) on Red Rock, African Potash, Prospex Oil:

African Potash: A company that has been very rewarding yet somewhat disappointing has recently give away its biggest sign that its road to recovery precedes the once thought road to perdition by doubters, Chris Cleverly is very much onboard with some very near term dynamic moves. The recent AGM should have been a formality in making room to issue the 2nd and final tranche of funding coupled to the axing of its Bergen instrument which has single handedly hammered the price from 2p down to 0.4p. A year ago 5p was the main level of attack and whilst this seems a distant memory I can very much see a quick rebound to 1p+  the retreat down to current levels seems harsh and now unnecessary (Bergen goes, the price will rise) I fully anticipate very near term buoyancy.

Prospex Oil: The little unknown company has recently been flagged up, Formerly Premier Gold (PGR) the company of old crashed against the rocks leaving the shell which was rescued via a CVA / clean up by the new management team. Now Prospex Oil after raising a slug of cash and with a newly formed board appears resonates very much with a little unknown Mx Oil (This time last year) formerly Astar Minerals. Some may remember the 1p to 5p move there and I very much get the feeling that PXOG is a mirror image. Ironically the MXO doubters were quickly put in there place as the shares have consistently traded at a significant gain leaving Prospex as the next highly anticipated and very much unknown shell looking to move into near term O&G acquisitive space. If they secure a close to home onshore asset then expect shares to soar, if they sit on there hands for 6 months then expect a troublesome future. '' I'm a speculative buyer of the stock ''

Red Rock Resources: Andrew Bell has been fighting on many fronts and whilst the brave samurai has been busy (nearly falling on his own sword) it would appear that with all of the debt removed, remuneration reduced and far less liabilities it looks to me that 0.08p will be the foundation to the companies recovery story. I expect the shares to trade up somewhat assuming AB keeps concentrating on doing his job rather than the usual lack lustre spivvy old money roll as an executive. Things have changed and RRR and Bell need to do a days work as well as enjoying the city life of boozy lunches.

Mx Oil: Shares have soared recently on a highly anticipated update on acquisition progress, MXO has been a real gem for penny investors and we stand by for the long awaited news flow. During the UK Investor show Mx Oil was particularly popular - Pretty Polly or Pretty Exciting '' You decide ''.

UK Oil & Gas: Sadly my popularity on UKOG has dried up, after 1000% of gains called on this company, from a time when very few people even knew what they were doing back in 2013/4 It pains me to say that UKOG looks a sell rather than a buy. If an equity issue comes or the funding of a second hole kicks in then I strongly believe the shares value will decline. I do however want to wish David all the very best for a peach of a promote and also wish all holders/ex-holders a bright and fruitful future. I'm 99.9% sure that hundreds of billions of barrels won't be secreted from Horse Hill (Weald Basin) but very happy to be wrong, the risk now is above and beyond even me.

Sefton Resources (Stryker): My friend BMD has left the building, whilst many will speculate on this i think without doubt he's demonstrated (even if only briefly) how to create interest within the market place, welldone and congratulations.


All the best


Doc



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DocsLaymanChatter XXXVII

After an exciting week at Horsehill investors feel stoked at the prospect of further movers and shakers in the alternative markets, in doing so private investors are now in an awfully vulnerable position as when enthusiasm peaks so does the chance of a snakes and ladders outcome. In such times it is clear private investors need to take some council with themselves at how easy trading / investing in these markets really is!!! - As a rule i always sit on hands and gather thoughts when hitting a big return, patience, planning and analyzing a situation helps me find some resolve in whatever direction i maybe intending on embarking.

The markets feel awash with positive sentiment, good will and big winners are on the cusp of all conversation, let me be crystal clear again when i say this '' In July the markets will not be like this '' thus one must make hay whilst the sun shines (Now) however do not fall foul of rushing feet first into the wrong trade. Often we see the euphoria of the markets as the catalyst to big collapse, I feel we have a little more to go so plenty of money to be made however always keep a sober and balanced outlook.

This week I caught up with David Bramhill which you can click and hear here:

I recently chatted to Andrew Bell of Red Rock Resources which you can hear here:

Today we will look at a bunch of companies making waves within the small-cap markets most of which will be companies you have heard of for a variety of reasons, I'm a firm believer of backing companies that will move based on market mechanics thus arguing an out and out technical or fundamental case may not be enough.

UK Oil & Gas: After huge gains from UKOG i'm now dubious to the big media hype surrounding the company, I'm sure that the recent interest in the company will be used to tap the market thus fear a placing or funding deal is pending, I do accept that the company looks to be in a much firmer place however don't see it as a company to commit to until we have clarity and visibility of funding the future HH 2

My thoughts on Horsehill (Special) can be found by clicking here:

Red Rock Resources: From all the aim companies i hold currently RRR is one i believe will make great steps similar to the moves seen in UKOG and other HH companies, a deal on Columbia is imminent and the wind of change appears to be blowing over Red Rock. MG are nearly all out and with the monkey off the back (it's death spiral) I can only see big big things near-term here '' Add to your list of stocks to follow ''

Sound Oil: Most of you will recall the talk of buying SOU for the stock of 2015. Shares are up well over 100% now giving the market cap of £75 million, I believe that Sound oils Badile assets gotta 30p value should it come in which would make the current SP look like small fry however to answer the masses of people that have questioned am I a buyer at this level I simply say not just yet. I have a decent free carry which i hope and believe will do well moving forward but protecting capital is paramount and until i see reason to risk it again I'll sit on my (free) hold  position until we hear more.

Union Jack Oil: Against many UK Onshore Oil & Gas companies UJO is massively undervalued, the company has a decent cash position circa £3 million coupled to very encouraging updates from Wressle 1. I anticipate that the recent uplift in all UK onshore plays like this will reflect in UJO's measly £5 million marketcap, I accept its yet to be the peoples favorite but its a matter of time in my opinion. Please click the above link to listen to the recent Audio interview.

Noricum Gold: Stay abreast of the news flow here, NMG have increased its portfolio so by virtue the news flow associated. I hear that the city tails are wagging again around this tiny gold company with the infamous Lenigas and Strang buying into the play '' for good reason ''



All the best


Doc



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Horse Hill Special

Well what a week it's been for all that have held,hold or traded Horse Hill stocks, many who follow the blog will have been aware of the significant gains taken in 2014 and yet again during 2015, but a week ago i felt that city flutters and order book movement was in itself suggesting a big big move. Those who follow me on twitter will have been crystal clear about this message and whilst the city tails wag for very little these days the all more convincing volume indicators were rising like a salmon at spawning season.

So what have we learnt from this week? well undoubtedly Mr Lenigas is the cremedelacreme of aim stock promoters, and whilst i accept that the KC may hold enough oil to exceed the Beverly hillbillies backyard  find, i remain cynical. With enough interest now to raise the additional cash the group will need to drill further exploration holes it now looks primed to be apart of the news for months and years to come. We can argue what will be from now until kingdom come however the main story here is positive sentiment for UK Onshore oil companies along with huge financial rewards to those who applied simple robust principles of '' Knowing the game '' some have done pretty well out of it. A buddy of mine hit £80,000+ and a lovely lady i chat with via my twitter feed had a tidy £20,000 return. One called it a lucky sell and the other a clever T+ trade, either way it's been a rewarding story. For those trapped as a buyer at 2p+ I fear you may have to let the early sub half penny buyers have there fun and also potential equity issues to come in.

The statement that stood out head and shoulders to me was when questioned '' how many jobs will this create '' and Mr Lenigas replied '' Thousands '' - This is about as bold a statement as one could expect, do i believe thousands of people will find employment from Horse Hill? Absolutely not... we may have a period where hunderd/s of contractors are onsite at one time but i see this as a brief flash in the pan moment. As I say i concede that Horse Hill has a brighter future now more than a few weeks ago although I never subscribe to the clever PR and Marketing of a product.

Who wants a furby, a teddy ruxpin, perhaps a my little pony or cabbage patch doll!!! - In reality these things come and go and whilst clever PR and Marketing can give a brief window of genius it rarely stands up for long, I see AIM to hold many of the same core values so whilst I hope and pray that we see more and more tangible evidence of greatness within the Oil space it would be fair to add caution rather than throwing it to the wind.

The UK Onshore now has an audience and whilst the HorseHill mob finance the next drill it maybe worthwhile to look at Egdon,Union Jack or Europa O&G as they have very much started to produce and sell oil from its wressle 1 assets north of Scunthorpe. Sentiment and momentum are 8/10ths of the law on AIM and I can see more and more people looking to find the next big Onshore mover/s

Click here to listen to my chat with Union Jack Oils David Bramhill

I take my hat of to Mr Lenigas and co for a well worked entry into Onshore greatness, if he can deliver a fifth of what they have been discussing I expect an exciting path ahead. As i'm somewhat cynical I'll be assuming the position similar to the red Indian scout at the battle of big wash - this is that of observer.

All the best


Doc



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DocsLaymanChatter XXXVI

This weeks blog is firmly based on today's audio, we talk a lot about recent events within the markets coupled to the education one needs to counter move or insulate against significant loss. 90% of private investors lose within the markets, many blow up their accounts within the first 1-2 years '' Don't become a statistic by trying to apply blue chip investment strategies against an aim (tier 3) company '' you're on a sure fire route to loss.

Following the masses down the road of perdition will have zero positive outcome, knowthegame....
This week we talk about Noricum gold, Teathers Financial along with an in depth look at how the markets work, the paramount need to unequivocally protect your capital '' As simply this is what keeps you at the table ''

To hear my analysis on the markets as well as #TEA #NMG and much much more click here



All the best


Doc



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DocsLaymanChatter XXXV

As my first trip of the year looms ever closer I ponder further the busy schedule for the month of April. Spain for 5 days then straight back and to the UK Investor show 2015 (click for tickets) to tackle my old friend and sparring partner David Lenigas, this time his bully boy buddy won't be there to prevent old Dave running away so finally he may answer some of the concerns from the 2014 confrontation. With a new bunch of questions set around another of his heavily associated mining companies.

This week my friend Tom Winnifrith was served with papers (injunction) in a weak attempt to silence him from exposing fraudulent companies operating within the alternative investment market or the '' Casino '' as TW. would proclaim. The corporate espionage and systematic milking of UK shareholders is enough to make the strongest of stomachs rench, sadly many investors never get to the bottom of things which in essence lets these charlatans and crooks off the hook. If Aiden Early or any other for that matter believes that serving papers is answer to his critics then i honestly believe he's about to get a pretty darn big bill from his appointed solicitors as he and any other who attempt to erase free speech will be serving more papers than Jamie Oliver has served hot dinners. The simple fact is these documents and articles will slosh about cyberspace for ever and a day, banging your hand down on Tom is like swatting flies with a sledgehammer, the annoyance and hard labours of it will wear thin when you realise that once Tom stops buzzing away he'll be replaced by another and another and another. I suggest the back alley sally executives who have been having a feral old time fiddling for the past few decades accept that the road to retribution lies ahead.  Aiden,Dave and Donald duck should all take note as the wheels of revolution are fully turning.

February into March has been steady for the portfolio and whilst many are hopeful for the next few months, I've resided to the fact that April onwards will see me holding a big slug of cash just incase things aren't so hot. You can always sink it in but getting it out is a very different challenge and one I don't want to be faced with. For now I'm expecting a decent few weeks ahead so lets look at what's hot and not as it may be.

UK Oil & Gas: A month ago UKOG was top of the pops by virtue of it's rise off 0.35p to 0.60p with a hive of activity in frequency and volume. 4wks on and the rumour mill is churning over once again, the retail community this weekend has reacted positively to the speculation and anticipation of news. If the stock breaks 0.62-0.65p then I firmly expect the shares to quickly change hands at a significant premium to today's price. '' 1p+ is very much an initial target ''

Trinity Exploration & Production: Unlike other Oil & Gas companies operating within the same geographic footprint, I see TRIN as a proper operator. The market cap is a fraction to peers after coming off hard from £1.20 to 20p. This week we have seen a renewed interest in the TRIN story and it's really is not hard to see why. The company has bonified assets which are operated by dyed in the wool oil men. Speculation is growing over the GSA being signed along with a clear visibility on financing which is rumoured to be siamese with the GSA and not from an equity raise (Placing)

Worthington Group: Have issued TW. with a gag order, OK many of you know that Tom and I have differences from time to time however we really do have to pay a close attention to Naibu's director who is serving time in prison and has been since Nov 14' or the squeaky clean Big Jim Ellerton who fucked UK shareholders in his quest for self fulfillment by the tune of millions. Maybe the Range Resources debacle is fresh in your mind too? '' Regardless of bogus claims regarding old winnie, the testament of time shows that the old tommy gun is pretty effective in battle ''

Noricum Gold: I can see why shareholders maybe be browned off with Mr Kunzel of Noricum however a clear shift of change has taken place, many in the retail community may not be ofay with junior mining practices but to put into laymans terms '' Diamond drilling '' is a proper form of sampling / gathering results. I have no knowledge of what these results will be but all the delays and negativity is priced in now. The company has up to a million quid in the bank coupled with potential meaningful news. - It looks a buy pre news drive '' derisk as the SP climbs ''

There are a number of companies that i believe will be trading significantly higher than today, Union Jack Oil cannot be worth less on these results '' The markets valuation is disconnected '' I fully expect this to become buoyant soon. Boxhill Technology is primed to rise once the old director has finished selling his stock, the director was potted for a lack of productivity. Teathers Financial has an A-list group with a Z- list valuation, visibility will instigate the move here '' eyes peeled on news flow ''. Paternoster Resources has been held back by a legacy holder (Zoltav) selling down its position, this week I had it confirmed that position is fully disposed thus expect solid relief to the upside on any kind of buying pressure. Westminster Group have been finding some decent traction in the markets this week, WSG as with many peers in SL have suffered at the hands of an aggressive epidemic which is now starting to subside. The company has recently released news on its ever growing roster of business which has clearly helped raise the spirits of long term shareholders.

Folks interested in meeting up in London or Manchester in 1H 2015 please register your interest for each or both events by clicking here:

All the best


Doc



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Investor '' Get together '' London & Manchester 2015

 

Private Investors '' Get Together ''

In 2015 I intend to arrange a number of get together's, these can be a simple pint of ale and a chat or a more formal wine & canapes like arrangement. Needless to say the primary aim is to stimulate group discussions over a host of common interests namely the stock markets, we've had a positive initial response from twitter to the London & Manchester suggestions however this is a social invitation to one and all.

The idea is to cater to the numbers thus anticipate that London is currently a 65/35 split. This will not deter or prevent either date taking place, it simply means we will try to now gauge and cater for each group accordingly. There is no hard sell or pitch coming your way, this is wholly a retail event which relies on you the attendee to pitch up and get involved with active chat/debate or conversation. I'm no great host nor do intend to take folk by the hand although a welcome greeting and brief introduction with a drink is the least we can do.

In September we had about 25 private investors meet after an oil barrel conference, this '' get together '' went well so hope to replicate it throughout the year. I/we have no allegiance to any market related business, but should one or more companies decide to foot the food and booze bill then I'm not going to argue.

Let me be 100% clear, there will not be any brokers / PR / corporate's or companies invited to these events unless they adhere clearly to the simple rule of open dialogue in an open forum. I feel its a pertinent point to cover as other events (not mine) have reported that pushy brokers had been trying to run the jedi mind trick over them (pitching services).

In September we had a solid group of private investors along with, an aim listed Oil&Gas CEO, the infamous BrokerManDan, super cool technical guru Zak Mir, Myself and the incredible '' Day trading magnum @BaronTrading '' During 2015 we'll follow a similar line, there is no criteria so lucky mug punters, expert tech guys, fundamental overseers, forensic accountants, sophisticated and unsophisticated investors, newbies or those looking to bounce ideas around are truly welcome.

The average running time is a few hours but i myself enjoy a beer so this could easily run over, I hope to meet with you soon for an informal chat and beverage. '' We are simple folk with simple needs '' do not be put off as many often can be by such events. The unknown is not to far from a night at the local pub chatting amongst friends.

Register your interest here: investormeetings@outlook.com

If you have any questions, suggestions or concerns please email in, over the next few weeks we will carve out dates, meeting places and times. don't expect bells and whistles but do expect an enjoyable experience.

All the very best

Doc

DocsLaymanChatter XXXV

The last 7-10 days have seen a clear shift in sentiment throughout aim, we have seen a bunch of companies which have been weighted to the bottom seemingly start their shift toward respectable levels, sadly many of these are still very much depressed as private investors are still nursing the pain of aim within their portfolios. For weeks if not months we here at Docslaymanchatter have been predicting a turn in the tide for one very simple reason, and that is the distinct need for cash!

Many aim listed companies do not generate revenue and those that do often don't create enough to keep the train pootling along the track, this ignites the annual funding season which looks to be fast approaching. Either we will see a jump up in liquidity, interest and placing's or by the summertime we will have dozens upon dozens of junior resource, tech & bio companies hitting the skids going bust. I tend to follow the premise that the tier 3 city outfits need  these leeches of the investment world as much as the low life facilitators need them.

A huge proportion of the square mile is solely reliant on companies that are in incubation, this is the terminology for genuine embryo companies but also lifestyle pay day creations. Our job is to try and spot the good apples in the barrel, clever investors recognise the cyclical nature of all aim companies thus find trade opportunities across a broader range. We have to be a matter of fact about which ethos we are following, to jump back and forth can be a challenge. Personally I don't follow any set guidelines as after years I find the markets more compelling and rewarding by moving inline with the changes but this can be something of a fast pace to follow so advise against it until you have a strong set of principles that are working effectively.

Like learning to drive you have to feed the wheel and use your mirrors, after you pass you can roll your seat back and crossover hands, although similar to investing you need to have the credentials and ability to pass the test before you can hit the open road alone. Lets look at a few companies that are becoming interesting in the small cap markets.


TEA: Formerly SPR the company has changed name, moving away from the button company sperati. TEA team of Jason Drummond and well known uber wealthy investors has pegged this tiny micro cap on the map. Investors like myself are banking on the company making positive steps however this is more a forecast from a blinded position rather than some inside line into the TEA nerve centre.

Union Jack Oil: Seems we have been talking about this company for a while, we have had some pretty good moves in the company, yet we all stand by our beds waiting for the official line that we have a commercial well which is producing ahead of expectation. This would be the ideal end to a turbulent run for many of the partners operating in testing times, it's my belief that a good result here will bode well for all including Union Jack. We await the confirmation over the forthcoming weeks, remember folks UJO has a strong cash position and are funded through to 2016.

Sound Oil: Have bounced back hard after a slip towards 9p after the OP crash, The company has a full nearterm calendar with Nervesa and Badile pending. To be clear this is the second drill in an already commercial project at Nervesa, the company in 2015 should if the roster is to be believed have a solid cash flow and big operation finalising towards year end.

Sefton Resources: My old mate Daniel Levi (BMD) has his work cut out here, but then Dan probably wouldn't have it any other way. Sefton has to have the cross guarantee lifted as soon as possible to allow the company to breath again. Without BMD intervention Sefton would have surely suffocated at the hands of the old regime. I wish him well and hope to book a busy slot in his diary to catch up - stay tuned to www.valuethemarkets.com for that interview.

Paternoster Resources: Once Zoltav finalise the sale of there remaining few PRS shares the companies SP should rebound nicely above the current level of 0.22-0.25p I anticipate a correction north of here and with a rumoured £20,000 of Zoltav overhang left to go we should see that sooner rather than later.

Solomon Gold: Jumped from the oversold position as private investors were tempted into the stock once some liquidity returned, I bought this company based on its depressed position with a theory that whilst the 5yr chart said 1.3p possible the markets were nowhere near as bad as 2013 when the whole european currency was about to collapse (which it hasn't to date yet!)

A few companies to watch for interesting developments are Boxhill Tech,African Potash,Sunrise Res,Uk Oil & Gas,Barron Oil,Verona Pharma and Wishbone Gold.

All the best


Doc



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