Saturday, 22 February 2014

DocsLaymanChatter XXIII




Bulls Vs Bears


This morning I look back at the weeks events with a level of enchantment, as the markets casts its spell upon investors. This week we have looked up the chain at the long and short position calls being presented to investors.

We here at DLC have tried to demonstrate when the value of a large company has been beaten down it can provide some short term relief to small-cap Investor/Traders, diversity is the name of the game folks and in order to continue winning or curtail loss then we can never fear foraging elsewhere.

The usual theme here is rounding up small-cap companies which has left an element of doubt or question over readers minds, '' Why does dlc not venture up the chain '' This week we have set out some of these companies as the passage of time will tell if we have the metal to build a strong enough call over the next year.

The UK Investor Show takes place on 5th April, I'll be there in my tracksuit and trainers meeting and greeting fellow P.I's please drop me a tweet at https://twitter.com/DDS_Doc_Holiday if your coming and I look forward to hooking up with you prior or post the informal chat on how to survive and beat the market.

Rolls Royce: (RR.) was hammered down on allegation of fraud (Bribery) along with a stable yet static forecast on growth for 2014, However profits are up 23% for 2013 and the long and short of it is the claims or suggestions are not a new story to overseas business. The '' When in Rome '' approach has to be taken if we are to remain realistic. Whilst RR. trades north of 950p then a likely revisit to 1200p is on, a tighter outlook from us is to find a long from 990p

Tullow Oil: (TLW) Disappointed fans with a setback from its well on the Langlitinden prospect in Norway where is the explorer is a 15 percent partner, will be plugged and abandoned after the operator failed to find commercial levels of oil.The drop appears to be unkind to Tullow who flew into the spot light after the Tano block finds in Ghana '' This will take some beating and without a huge drop in the markets then sensibility will prevail.

Tate & Lyle: (Tate) I stumbled across Tate midweek as the chart showed it's Rsi was its weakest for 3 years so whats new? Well Tate&Lyle popped up in the news as one of its sites reportedly had an explosion:




Lafayette Fire Chief Richard Doyle said when firefighters arrived at the scene Wednesday, Tate and Lyle personnel told fire crews the situation was under control. Doyle said because the Lafayette Fire Department works closely with Tate and Lyle personnel and provides training to them, fire crews left the scene because they felt confident the situation was under control.
“If they’ve given us information that says the situation has been taken care of, we’ll send someone from our department in with their personnel,” Doyle explained. “They’ll verify what the situation is, and that it’s safe, and that we don’t need to provide any other further assistance. ”
Doyle said no one was injured in Wednesday’s incident.
Fear will recede and normal service should resume even if numis lowered its advisory to a hold. '' Long punters should start to appreciate the buy as traction is found '' 
Ocado: (Ocdo) Seems grossly over priced at 600p and while only the William Wallace type shorter's are taking their place, I'd say at this level its time to start to see the downside, with a P/E of a hundred or two coupled with some plain old common sense I'd say Ocado will come down to earth with one big bang, Cautious shorter's hold on for the confirmation but the brave war horse may be galloping in now as they posture for an assault on York. 
Quindell: (QPP) I mentioned Quindell were well overheated, infact similar to Ocado its gasket seemed to be buckling under the steam of its rise and when the pressure came to a head the obvious took place, '' So what for QPP '' well the reality is the city / money has been having a right old merry dance with Quindell however facts are its overvalued so 20p fears far outweight 50p excitement. The claims of stumping up £23m and 325m shares backed by broker coverage is the smoke and mirrors behind the rise to house the deal... '' I could be wrong however feel its worth considering after all this is Aim, lets look back in 3 months ''


All the best

Doc

https://twitter.com/DDS_Doc_Holiday

http://docslaymanschatter.blogspot.com/

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(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and do not adopted as statement of fact)


Sunday, 9 February 2014

DocsLaymanChatter XXII



Another mixed week in the markets with some onus being attributed to the sustainability and credibility of the recovery. I think we all all know that there has been no epiphany however we have to take some of the growth as gospel. The real problem is investors/traders alike from both the wholesale and retail don't have any deep rooted trust and on this basis we have obey the golden rule of not following peter pan.

As always the DLC audio's have been as popular as ever and of course my notoriety amongst the unsophisticated mug punters seems to proceed me. Don't take my word for anything follow the public domain for your facts.

I must say this weeks tug of war in the media has grown stale '' Put up or shut up ''



Paternoster Resources: The company failed to excite with news of a few RTO's breaking down, So what new with PRS in 2014? The company is showing clear technical signs of bucking the downward trend in the 2h 2013 with the Rsi forming a floor and consolidating at 0.26p. From the start of 2014 the techs have showed a journey to 0.37p should we see that breached and with some room for the rsi to continue a stretch of the legs further towards 0.41p & 0.48p - Coupled with some further fundamental developments and a strong cash position the upsides looks to far outweigh the down.

Karelian: I have been asked a lot about KDR and whilst there is some clear potential to revisit the high of early January, the main factor for me is the stock is consolidating at this level before any future moves down or up, its come a long way in a short amount of time and personally I'd wait and see before following the money in or out right now. (One to watch)

Sareum: Have managed to claw back some of the ground it lost over the last 6 months, if 0.70p goes then a further push back towards 1p are on the cards, Some early support is forming as investors and traders alike hope for another 2011 Rns pump from the CEO Tim Mitchell

Westminster Group: The SP bounced of support at the 70p level leaving the old faithful excited at the potential of forthcoming contract news, technically the stock is starting to look like its losing the war however the news is rumored to be imminent and one last pull back wouldn't surprise me however the support has held on this occasion and this could well be that very episode before the bells and whistles breakout. looks plenty of upside but set a stop in the mid/high 60's if your uber cautious

Last week was a predominantly resource based cover, diversity comes in all shapes and sizes....


All the best

Doc

https://twitter.com/DDS_Doc_Holiday

http://docslaymanschatter.blogspot.com/

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(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and do not adopted as statement of fact)

Saturday, 1 February 2014

DocsLaymanChatter XXI

 

Have we become disconnected


As we embark on a new week, we leave a destitute one behind having myself scaled back 2/3 of my entire portfolio I sit scratching my head as exposure and volatility in the markets are the recipe for success if you possess the confidence of your own convictions.

To be frank I feel/felt that the news flow over the last and next week will quite simply be taken in a bad light regardless as the global recoveries sustainability is the new keyser soze in the markets.The interpretation of what drives the markets is derived from an ever revolving door thus fear has to come in many formats as does its contrary emotion of relief or jubilance.

When we consider taking a position whether a short term trade or a longer term view we still have to consider the wider factors attributed to fear or jubilance as this helps guide our entry/exit when completing an action. This very point is really one of the main hazards which is flippantly overlooked, After a year it is really time that readers hold an armoury of information to help circumnavigate the markets woes and windfalls.

As always this week we look at a few companies that are either on my radar or taking up a position of popularity amongst the retail...

 

Two mining stocks at each end of the spectrum


Kazakhmys: Plummeted to earth in a Felix Baumgartner fashion, A little while ago I called it a buy which was clearly wrong as it proceeded not to be my finest call however I tuned into my old pal Gary Newmans Piece here and have to say I completely agree with him that KAZ is due some serious relief and an old warhorse investor would be scaling into this company and buying into the weakness.

Kalimantan Gold: Tanked after its news that its major partner freeport had pulled out of its Ksk project leaving investors perplexed and heavily speculating, I had a chat with the gaffer Faldi last week and have to say the company is in much better shape than I initially thought, Briefly the company has a raft of interest in its assets which have seen significant investment to date. Tens of millions have been spent from this micro cap sub £2m Market Cap company '' I see a big rebound coming,'' Klg has $500k in the bank and have also made aggressive cuts to its cash burn which pretty much safeguards the business whilst it proceeds to open its data room. As of this weekend Klg are no longer tied to freeport so expect a more transparent newflow.

Round Up

Orsu Metals: I mentioned on the twitter feed as the simple facts are cash is king in a mining company and this one has plenty to go at, at 3.5p there is a stack of upside to the downside, we can analyze things far too much at times so I keep it simple '' People will wake up to the cash in its hand and see value '' Even poorly run companies have moments of greatness and its 10p bonanza not to long ago pegs a bullish hallmark in the chart.

Savannah Resource: Appears to have the retail bulls stirred up which now shines the light of liquidity in its eyes, This company has not gone unnoticed and was mention a little while ago here, having perked up a fair whack since then I maintain SAV is one to follow and hold if you're in, although buying at over 6p could be dicey until we see a technical or fundamnetal bias towards buying (watch)

Greatland Gold: Was tipped in the 30's and after a significant rise I advised taking some off the table both here and sula, clearly this was the right call and after realising rises of hundreds of percent we have to as investors digest the gravity of these gains and bank it.

Looks like a resource round up this week however during the week we'll look to diversify (If soundcloud comes back online that is apologies if your missing the audios, technical fault onsite at the mo)


All the best

Doc

https://twitter.com/DDS_Doc_Holiday

http://docslaymanschatter.blogspot.com/

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(These are but opinions derived from my own experiences and thoughts and do not adopted as statement of fact)